This just confirms my view that Murphy ain't the world's brightest analyst, although I agree with him on some stocks. Citicorp may or may not be overpriced, but dumping on Greenspan for cutting interest rates because retirees savings compound at a lower rate, accusing him of "starving them" is idiocy. Inflation is low, *real* interest rates (interest rate minus inflation rate) are not especially low now compared to a few years ago. Does he think that higher interest rates and a recession would be good for fixed income retirees, and does he think that the higher budget deficits that would exist in this situation would help ease political pressure to cut social security?
Lots of people think they know how to do Mr. Greenspan's job better than he does. A few may, but I'm pretty thankful most of them aren't, because if they were, we'd be ******'d pretty quick!
From what I understand, Murphy's overall record on his picks isn't too hot.
This is not to say Asian exposure won't hurt Citicorp, just that I wouldn't trust Murphy's analysis.
HB |