GOP is surging, even in races where Dimms were well ahead, til recent weeks. A lot like final days before the 2016 vote:
<Kyrsten Sinema, the Arizona Democrat running for the U.S. Senate against Rep. Martha McSally, just lost the endorsement of the State Troopers Union. This comes on the heels of Arizonans learning that Sinema said that stay-at-home moms leech off their husbands and that it’s just fine with her if Americans go fight for the Taliban. She continues her slow slide into oblivion. She blew an early lead and is now down between two and four points.
In Tennessee, Democrat Phil Bresden has been called out by the NRA for claiming that he has the group’s endorsement. He doesn’t and they’re letting everyone know about it. The RealClearPolitics average has Republican Marsha Blackburn up by 6.5 points.
In Missouri incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill is in trouble. Her closing argument is that she’s “not one of those crazy Democrats.” That’s actually a line from her ad. Not great, since it makes people ask, “Well, even if she’s not one of those crazy Democrats, she’s works with them, caucuses with them, and votes with them so I’m not going to vote for her because that would be, well, crazy.” And it doesn’t sit well with other Democrats either. State Senator Maria Chappelle-Nadal is urging Missouri Democrats to write-in a Progressive candidate rather than voter for McCaskill. Ouch. The GOP says Hawley leads by seven points.
Democrat Joe Manchin in West Virginia has seen his lead evaporate and might now be in trouble. In deep blue New Jersey, Bob Menendez is now leading by just five points. He’s still the favorite to win, but that’s too close for comfort and forces Democrats to spend resources there just as they will have to in West Virginia. This, plus a raft of House races that have been trending towards Republicans, including Arizona’s 1st Congressional District and California’s 16th Congressional District, where Republican Elizabeth Heng is within striking distance of Democrat Jim Costa, have put Democrats on defense in the closing weeks of the race.>
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