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Technology Stocks : DSC Communications

DIGI 0.0001000

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Jun 3 1:06 PM EST

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To: Moe Damghani who wrote (3318)	1/16/1998 3:56:00 PM
From: Dave Chanoux	Read Replies (1) of 4429

Earnings Guessing Value Line Analysis was mentioned recently. So I went to my local library (As Moe directed) and pulled together this silly little analysis of Value Line's opinion of DSC over the last 2-3 years. It has been generally positive! Interstingly enough, there was only one analyst throughout this period: George I.H. Rho. Silly conclusions: 1. Value Line earnings estimates have been consistently very close to the actual. 2. For the first time since 95, Value Line estimates have increased (albeit just by a penny) as the quarter gets closer. 3. The Value Line estimate is higher than most others I have seen for Q497. This implies to me that the company is doing better than expected. How to read this: For the "Period" V/L estimated eps 2, then 1 quarter ahead. On the V/L Date, the published analysis ranked the stock (1 highest to 5 lowest). Share price was approximatly as listed on that date. EPS Estimate EPS Estimate EPS V/L V/L Share Period 2 qtrs ahead 1 qtr ahead Actual Date Rank Price Q494 -- .42 .46 1/13/95 1 35 Q195 .34 .34 .36 4/14/95 1 32 Q295 .41 .42 .44 7/14/95 1 49 Q395 .47 .42 .42 10/13/5 1 44 Q495 .53 .53 .42 1/12/96 2 35 Q196 .45 .10 .10 4/12/96 4 26 Q296 .20 .18 .18 7/12/96 4 30 Q396 .32 .00 .01 10/11/6 3 19 Q496 .22 .11 .15 1/10/97 4 18 Q197 .12 .12 .12 4/11/97 3 19 Q297 .20 .20 .19 7/11/97 2 22 Q397 .25 .25 .24 10/10/7 2 28 Q497 .34 .35 ? 1/9/98 2 24 Q198 .27 - ? Hang in there. Regards, Dave Chanoux

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