Taking Advantage of a Sharply Changing Environment Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Taking Advantage of a Sharply Changing Environment

NRG 165.75

-0.6%

10:01 AM EST

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

From: Doug R	12/13/2018 11:29:42 AM
	1 Recommendation Recommended By Hawkmoon Read Replies (3) of 6326

Until people became aware of Zharkova's work, very nearly all those who predicted a weaker upcoming cycle 25 also predicted that the end of 24 would be long lasting. Reaching anywhere from late 2019 to even as far out as 2021. Funny thing is, even after Zharkova's work became widely known and accepted within the GSM aware communty (97%+ accuracy trumps every other predictive/forecasting method by FAR), they're all still saying that this current sunspot minimum will stretch out as they had said before. Look at her 97%+ accurate forecast. Cycle 25 is shown to be starting very close to now. Apparently there are some people not paying attention. Cycle 25 may not offer much help though. The Sun will very soon increase it's activity level offering strengthening of the magnetosphere. But it's a very feeble cycle that peaks quickly in 2023. But at the same time we know that the continued acceleration of the North magnetic Pole shows the magnetosphere will continue to weaken. The greater contribution to cosmic ray intrusion from this will somewhat offset the anemically better solar activity protction., volcanic eruptions will increase, adding more COS to the troposphere and thus to the stratosphere where it converts to more reflective sulfate aerosols. I don't expect the Northern jet stream to go back to its friendlier zonal flow pattern as a result. So the climate may not even show that solar activity is "trying" to help out for the next four years. But, like they say, "It could always be worse". Which it most definitely will be after 2023. We may go into a "nastiness holding pattern" for a bit. Although where we stand now, food production and cold weather threats to underground infrastructure in more southern areas where it wasn't engineered for cold weather will continue to take further hits in the interim. The heavy precipitation events and drought events will continue as well. Here are the companion charts. The top chart shows activity of north vs south magnetic polar fields. The second shows their combined activity. You can see the curve in red is beginning to turn up. The blue curve is already heading up. The two are no longer diverging. When David DuByne first brought this chart to the GSM community's attention, somehow he interpreted it to show they continued diverging into 2021 or 2022. That is puzzling. Even I "thought" that's what it was showing. I'm posting this now to correct things and set the record straight as to my personal position on the matter. I'm going to have to go back into the Adapt2030 video library to see how the error was made and presented. For the next 3 or 4 years it now becomes the magnetosphere strength and the migration of the North magnetic Pole that will be the factor which is front and center.

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next