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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 206.29+3.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: Greg Strzegowski who wrote (30917)1/18/1998 10:09:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) of 61433
 
FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES

ASND Ascend Communications 01/12/98
Industry: Com-wo AT&T SIC: 3576
Latest Price: $26.94 1997 P/E: 25.7
Analyst Recommendation: 2.5

QTR QTR FY FY
Dec 97 Mar 98 Dec 97 Dec 98
--- --- -- --
CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.22 0.24 1.05 1.15
Number of Brokers 26 18 27 27

Median 0.23 0.25 1.06 1.16
Standard Deviation 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.15
Current High 0.25 0.28 1.09 1.35
Current Low 0.14 0.12 0.97 0.47

Year Ago EPS 0.32A 0.31A 1.00A 1.05
Current vs. Year Ago Change -31% -23% 5% 10%
Report Date Jan 20 wk/Apr 10 Jan 20 -

EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM

Up Revisions last 7 days 0 1 0 1
Up Revisions last 30 days 0 1 0 1
Down Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 30 days 3 0 1 1

EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS

Current Mean 0.22 0.24 1.05 1.15
7-days ago Mean 0.22 0.24 1.05 1.15
30-days ago Mean 0.22 0.24 1.05 1.15
60-days ago Mean 0.23 0.25 1.06 1.16
90-days ago Mean 0.23 0.24 1.05 1.18

COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS

Industry - Com-wo AT&T 14.70 8.64 42.82 53.15
Current vs. Year Ago Change 11% 10% 21% 24%

Sector - TECHNOLOGY 10.30 9.16 35.71 43.59
Current vs. Year Ago Change 10% 10% 20% 22%

WSJ/DJ US Index 11.15 10.95 42.72 48.83
Current vs. Year Ago Change 8% 10% 11% 14%

Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ

P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 25.7 28.90 24.37 20.84
PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 0.73 1.21 1.34 1.66

RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES

RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES

Current Mean 2.5 Next 5 yrs - Median 35%
Number of Brokers 23 Number of Brokers 9
Industry Recommendation: 1.9 Industry Growth Rate: 24%

7-days ago Mean 2.5 Next 5 yrs - High 50%
30-days ago Mean 2.5 Next 5 yrs - Low 20%
60-days ago Mean 2.3 Last 5 Years 128%
90-days ago Mean 2.3

Diff. from Industry -0.6 Rel. to Industry 1.5
Diff. from Sector -0.5 Rel. to Sector 1.9
Diff. from WSJ/DJ US -0.3 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 2.8

Transmitted: 1/13/98 2:22 PM (E_ASND)
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