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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: maceng2 who wrote (1110465)1/14/2019 4:53:52 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (2) of 1570227
 
" there is just a "Steady State" system and a Stochastic process."

Climate is a dynamic system, not steady state. Are you perhaps thinking of Beenstock? Here's the refutation.

“Polynomial cointegration tests of anthropogenic impact on global warming” by Beenstock et al. (2012) – some hazards in econometric modelling of climate change
F. Pretis and D. F. Hendry

Abstract:

In their analysis of temperature and greenhouse gases, Beenstock et al. (2012) present statistical tests that purport to show that those two variables have different integrability properties, and hence cannot be related. The physics of greenhouse gases are well understood, and date from insights in the late 19th century by Arrhenius (1896). 10 He showed that atmospheric temperature change was proportional to the logarithmic change in CO2). Heat enters the Earth’s atmosphereas radiation from the sun, and is re-radiated from the warmed surface to the atmosphere, where greenhouse gases absorb some of that heat. This heat is re-radiated, so some radiation is directed back towards the Earth’s surface. Thus, greater concentrations of greenhouse gases15 increase the amount of absorption and hence re-radiation. To “establish” otherwise merely prompts the question “where are the errors in the Beenstock et al. analysis?”.

We will demonstrate several major flaws in their approach, such that none of their
claimed conclusions has any evidential basis.

Section 2 uses an uncontroversial example to highlight the dangers of approaches
20 that fail to address all the complications inherent in statistical analyses of observationaldata.

Section 3 applies the reasoning to the apparently more controversial case of the
relationship between greenhouse gases and temperature.

earth-syst-dynam.net
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