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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL 118.38+3.4%2:20 PM EST

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To: Gold Beach who wrote (27879)1/18/1998 8:15:00 PM
From: Meathead  Read Replies (2) of 176388
 
Donald - being a long time reader of WORTH, I have found
the 10 stocks to buy/avoid list record spotty at best. It,
like anything else is just one/two analysts opinion. There is
no depth behind the recommendations either (face it, there
are 20 buy/sell recommendations on 1 page) so we really
have no idea as to what Romick's understanding of the PC
business really is.

The tip off should be someone making recommendations on
Boston Chicken, Olympic financial, Dell and several other
dissimilar companies all in the same breath.

Hmmm, how much can any one guy actually understand about
so many different industries?? They basically use rudimental
investment guidelines to make valuation calls.

The reasoning for avoidance is hardly new or insightful.

1. Priced at 36 times earnings way too high for what's
becoming a commodity business.

Yep, Dell has a high PE. Here's why...
eb-mag.com

Dataquest compares Dell's build-to-order strategy with industry milestones like the introduction of the IBM PC in 1985. They
go so far as to call it the "third wave of historical industry changes." That's a pretty BOLD statement!

It's not about the box (commodity), it's about having the
most efficient PC delivery system. One reason the PE is
so high is that smart money knows Dell's business model
can NOT be copied successfully.

2. Looming slowdown in PC sales.
This is stupid... I loose respect for analysts who make
blanket statements like this... like Bill Fleckenstien.
Let's see if we can go back and find a year where there
have'nt been hundreds of analysts saying the same thing.

Here's an interesting tidbit... Major corporations have
been holding off purchasing/upgrading their servers until
Intel's 100Mhz BX arrives in systems sometime in Q2. There
is currently a tremendous amount of latent pressure here.

3. Increasing price competition.
Keen observation<ggg>. Who is the price leader and has
the ability to undercut everyone? Evidence shows that
this will accelerate industry consolidation and Dell
will benefit.

The bottom line is:
1. Technological advancements are increasing ever more
rapidly demanding the replacement cycle continue, i.e.
PC sales are not going to slow.

2. Dell's business model is unique, built from the
ground up, and next to impossible to duplicate by any
major or minor player.

Those who think anyone can duplicate Dell's model (all
you need is a phone right?<ggg>) has not done any research
and is playing with dumb money.

cheers

MEATHEAD
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