Long and insightful... no warming bull chit
Theodore White
February 27 at 10:22 PM
Deep Global Cooling: 2020s, 2030s & 2040s
The Sun's Grand Minimum Begins: No Sunspots in February:
Astromet Forecast: 'Extreme Weather Month of March 2019'
by Theodore White, astromet.sci
From record-shattering extreme cold and warm temperatures to heavy snowfall to relentless torrential rains causing floods - the astounding weather events worldwide have meteorologists and climate scientists scratching their heads.
What is going on?
As I've forecasted for many years now - what is going on is the weather of global cooling under the Sun's Grand Minimum.
The extreme weather events going into March and April 2019 will feature storms of freezing rains, ice, sleet, snow - and especially floods. Severe storms of torrential rains; gusting winds and tornadoes are also on tap.
Consider the extreme weather taking place across the American West Coast now in an El Nino climate state that I forecasted years ago would arrive in 2019.
During California's drought years of 2011-2017 which I also forecasted, I warned that when the multi-year drought was over that California would first see major wildfires that would be followed by heavy rains, mudslides and floods.
And now in winter 2019 a Pacific Ocean atmospheric river of storms is pounding California relentlessly.
Consider this,
The city of Venado in Sonoma County, which is north of San Francisco, received more 20 inches of rain in just 48 hours.
On Tuesday, Feb. 26, 2019 the city of Santa Rosa, California saw 5.66 inches of rain - smashing their all-time daily rainfall record.
And the flooding is so bad in Guerneville, California that it is cut-off from the outside by the overflowing Russian River. The only way to reach the town is by boat.
One resident told reporters that, "I feel like I'm living in a perpetual state of disaster here in California."
In the nearby Sierra Nevada mountains, the snowfall has been record-breaking.
Squaw Valley Ski Resort reported that it has had its snowiest month in recorded history.
Meteorologists have observed what they say is "an unusual climate pattern" taking place across the Pacific Ocean and Alaska.
That pattern is the anomalous activity of a very strong Pacific jet stream, that has split into two branches - smack in the middle of the Pacific Ocean.
One branch has its southern route through Hawaii, and feeding into extra warm water from the new El Nino that I forecasted and the projecting all that humid tropic humid into California.
These atmospheric rivers of heavy and constant rain is called the 'Pineapple Express.'
The other branch of the jet took the northern route and has been pounding western Alaska with tropical air for weeks.
Meanwhile, another blast of arctic air is coming during first week of March which will feel like midwinter.
It will cause temperatures to plunge 20 to 30 degrees Fahrenheit throughout the Midwest and 10 to 20 degrees below average in the Northeast.
For instance, averages for the month of March In Chicago is in the lower 40s, and in the mid-40s in New York City.
As February ends and March begins; a pair of weak but poorly organized storms will affect the northeastern and Mid-Atlantic regions from late Thursday night, Feb. 28th to Saturday, March 2nd.
Snow will fall into early Thursday with snow and rain showers to start the weekend, then, a larger storm off the coast has enough energy to see heavier snowfall, ice and rain later over the weekend into Monday, March 4th.
The snowfall will see light to moderate accumulation over New York state, northern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey and New England into early Thursday, Feb. 28th.
Periods of snow will fall to the upper Mid-Atlantic, central Appalachians and southern New England, rain showers over the lower mid-Atlantic and a mix of rain and snow in between.
Up to a couple of inches of snow will accumulate with the storms stretching from the Appalachians to southern New England.
Accuweather says that,
The storm's northeastward path into the central Appalachians and upper mid-Atlantic coast will see several inches of snow fall from parts central Plains to the northern part of the Ohio Valley, the eastern Great Lakes, the Allegheny and Pocono mountains in Pennsylvania and northern New England.
That northeastern path will see the storm race by bringing mostly rain from Washington, D.C.; New York City and Boston.
The storm's eastward path is touchy in that it could result in several inches of wet snow and/or heavy wintry mix from the mountains of West Virginia to northern Virginia; northern Maryland; southeastern Pennsylvania; Delaware; much of New Jersey; southeastern New York state and southern New England.
A more eastward track could bring mostly snow and little to no rain to Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City and perhaps Boston.
Such a path may result in major travel disruptions due to slushy and snow-covered roads and deicing delays with possible flight cancellations at airports.
Still, both cases, a zone of wintry mix that includes pockets of sleet and freezing rain is likely between the plain rain and snowfall zone from Sunday, March 3rd to early Monday, March 4th.
Just as a new polar vortex plunges into the North Central states later this week and weekend, a stronger storm will also develop over the southern Plains.
In the wake of that storm, a new polar blast follows will bring dangerous cold temperatures to the Midwest, then into the Northeast.
Gusting winds will lead the edge of that March 4th polar air incursion as blustery conditions will linger through the first week of March.
Wind gusts between 40 and 55 miles per hour will flow over the Upper Midwest with 30 and 45 mph winds in the Northeast.
The combination of wind and arctic air will see millions of people feel temperatures well below zero Fahrenheit over the Upper Midwest and northern New England with slippery road conditions.
Temperatures will be near-zero into the single digits and teens in the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic.
The polar plunge will wane into the second week of March as a zonal wind pattern flow will allow warmer air from the Pacific Ocean to move across the United States.
The month of March is mid-winter and will delay early spring for much of the United States. The spring season to follow will be short and lead into near summer-like conditions by mid-May into June 2019.
The irregular seasons; extreme weather and seesaw temperatures people have experienced is caused by the early climate of global cooling as we enter the Sun's quiescent phase.
It is essential for those living in many regions to think seriously about relocation to survive the decades of the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s.
Current geographic locations already are experiencing the impact of global cooling and it is my forecast that things will get much worse in the years and decades ahead.
If you want to know more about relocation in this new era of global cooling then contact me at astro730@gmail.com.
'THE SUN'S GRAND MINIMUM'
Sunspots have not appeared on the Sun for 27 consecutive days in February 2019 and now solar science experts say they believe that the conditions of a solar minimum will soon begin.
The transition from the Sun's maximum during the Medieval Warm Period to solar minimum and the Little Ice Age was highlighted by extreme climate and weather events featuring powerful storms, increasingly gusting winds; torrential rains, great floods, wildfires, droughts; heavy snowfall; polar vortex incursions with radical above normal and below normal temperatures.
We are now entering a solar minimum and the effects on Earth as of February 2019 are notable:
*American Pacific Northwest - Has it coldest February in 30 years and its 4th coldest in 75 years setting records for daily and monthly snowfall totals.
*In January 2019 the Sierra Nevada's June mountain recorded up 72 inches of snow falling in 24 hours.
*Japan’s northern island of Hokkaido saw record cold temperatures of minus 24.4 Celsius - the lowest seen since it began compiling weather data back in 1957.
*Minnesota: Recorded a subzero low temperature of minus 38 degrees Fahrenheit at Melrose, Minnesota. The coldest wind chill factor recorded in the U.S. was minus 70, degrees, recorded at Ely, Minnesota on January 30-31, 2019.
*Australia experienced it hottest December since recording started, with Adelaide striking a temperatures of 116 degrees Fahrenheit the last week in January 2019. It broke an 80-year-old record high set back in January 1939.
*In northwest Europe dozens of heat records have been broken this week. The city of London, England experienced 70 degrees Fahrenheit on Tuesday, Feb. 26, 2019 – the warmest winter day ever recorded in the United Kingdom.
The record setting weather events are clear signs that the Earth's planetary climate changes to different states caused by the Sun's activity.
While those claiming 'man-made global warming' attribute climate change to human emissions of CO2, the reality is that it is the Sun's declining magnetic field and weakening ultra-violet radiance that causes climate change on Earth and all the other planets of our solar system.
The Sun is entering a deep Grand Minimum and it will have devastating impacts worldwide over the next 30 plus years.
According to David Mortimer III,
"In the month February 2019 no sunspots were recorded for the first time during a solar minimum in 209 years.
The only other time this occurred during a Solar Minimum was in Solar cycle 6 in 1810.
From 1810 to 1820, known as the 'Cold Decade' it has been suggested it was caused by the Mount Tambora eruption; however that did not occur until 1815 and sunspot numbers began dropping off three years prior to 1810, eventually hitting 0 in 1810. Indeed no sunspots where reported at all throughout 1810."
Moreover, as of February 2019, it has been reported that galactic cosmic rays striking the Earth's stratosphere is intensifying - a 4th straight year in a row.
The finding comes from weekly high-altitude balloon launches since March 2015 that show there has been a 13 percent increase in X-rays and gamma-rays over central California with cosmic rays increasing worldwide as well.
The reason why cosmic rays are increasing is the Sun's quiescent phase as the Sun is entering into one of its deepest minimums in modern history according to my calculations.
As a result, the Sun's weakening magnetic field and heliosphere fueled by solar winds is not protecting the Earth from deep space radiation.
The impact of cosmic rays into the Earth's atmosphere cosmic also increase formation of clouds that in turn see increased heavy precipitation worldwide - cooling the planet further during a solar minimum.
Penetration of cosmic rays into the solar system is a danger not only to astronauts in outer space, but also to those who fly in airplanes.
For instance, the International Commission on Radiological Protection has classified pilots as occupational radiation workers because of cosmic ray doses they receive while flying.
A recent study by researchers at the Harvard School of Public Health also stated that flight attendants and frequent fliers have an elevated risk of cancer.
Professor Larry Bell wrote recently,
"... The climate has been blissfully warming since the last little ice age ended in the mid-1850s.
Recent global temperatures over the past couple of decades, however, haven’t changed much at all.
Rates of sea level rise continue to hold steady far longer at about seven inches per century.
But what if the minus 41 degree Fahrenheit cold snap that literally broke the official weather thermometer at Embarrass, Minnesota and also exposed Chicagoans to a minus 50 degree wind chill - isn’t nearly as rare as we might wish to imagine?
Lots of scientists believe that recent very low solar surface activity levels suggest that we may be in for colder decades ahead.
Such a 'solar minimum' of sunspot activity occurred during the previous little ice age.
Perhaps contemplate what would happen if we did not have fossil fuels to get us through such events.
For example, how would people in vulnerable latitudes warm their homes, or recharge their generously taxpayer subsidized plug-in cars?
Well, at least there wouldn’t be any need to drive to the airport because aircraft wouldn’t fly.
Besides, there would be no place to go.
Markets would be closed with no transport for restocking. Ditto, restaurants, manufacturing production and service plants, offices, schools, pilates classes, and virtually every other destination one might yearn for.
So maybe just bundle up the kiddies, everyone cuddle up with the dogs around grandma, and wait for a spring thaw when those battery-powered tractors can begin to plant vegetables again.
Perhaps this is exactly what Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y. has in mind with her Green New Deal which is endorsed by at least 40 other House Democrats along with Sens. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Cory Booker, D-N.J., and Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.
The plan proposes to replace nearly all fossil fuels with so-called 'renewables' (wind and solar) within a decade.
Not addressed is what energy source would replace that equal amount backup fossil-fueled turbine capacity needed to balance out the power grid during the majority of times when the wind isn’t blowing and when sunlight is not available.
To understand how totally hallucinatory the Green New Deal is, it is important to look at the full the spectrum of all energy demands measured in British thermal units (BTUs.)
Thinking exclusively in terms of electrical power excludes critical consumption sectors.
According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), the U.S. consumed a total of about 98 quadrillion BTUs of energy in 2017 which supported four sector categories that follow:
1) Electrical power consumed 38.1 percent of total Btus (37.24 quants.)
Of this amount:
Coal provided 34 percent.
Natural gas 26 percent.
Nuclear 23 percent.
Total “renewables” accounted for 17 percent (6.3 quants of total U.S. energy).
The part of this story we don’t typically hear mentioned is that of that only 27 percent of those renewables came from Wind (21 percent) and solar (6 percent) - a piddly total of 1.7 quants.
Biomass accounted for 45 percent.
Hydropower provided 25 percent and Geothermal added another two percent.
2) Transportation - which accountS for about 29 percent of total U.S. Btus (28.4 quants) relieS upon petroleum for 92 percent of its demand.
Biofuels (ethanol & biodiesel) accounted for only about 5 percent.
Electricity demand for vehicles is virtually negligible, AS IS wind and solar particularly.
Industrial uses accountS for about 22% of total BTUs consumed (22.4 quants.)
About 83 percent of this came from fossils, with natural gas providing 45 percent of this amount, and liquid petroleum 38 percent.
Residential/commercial consumption accounted for about 11 percent of total U.S. Btu demand (10.8 quants) with 76 percent of this amount provided by natural gas and 16 percent from petroleum.
Renewables provided the remaining 8 percent; with wind and solar accounting for tiny contributions.
It is more than a bit scary that elected officials (aided and unchallenged by a compliant media) would promote such nonsense.
Whether to be regarded as merely a naïve technological pipedream, a serious socialist economic nightmare, or both, those proposing the Green New Deal clearly aren’t playing with a full deck."
More people are beginning to understand my astromet forecast on the arrival of global cooling in mid-December 2017 and the Sun's Grand Minimum getting underway:
Jeffrey Foss, philosopher of science and professor emeritus at the University of Victoria, Canada, recently wrote that:
"Everyone has heard the bad news.
Imminent Climate Apocalypse (aka “global warming” and “climate change”) threatens humanity and planet with devastation - unless we abandon the use of fossil fuels.
Far fewer people have heard the good news.
The Sun has just entered its Grand Minimum phase, and the Earth will gradually cool over the next few decades.
Why should we all hope Earth will cool?
Because nobody with any trace of human decency would hope the Earth will actually suffer catastrophic warming.
Many of us believe in the threat of global warming, but live in the hope that we can switch to “renewable energy” before it is too late.
But this is a false hope.
Despite our best efforts over several decades, renewables such as wind and solar energy still meet only 2 percent of global energy needs, while hydro adds only 7% or so.
So avoiding the alleged 'Climate/Global Warming Apocalypse' by relying on renewable energy would require surviving on less than 10% of our current energy requirements.
But that is impossible.
It would also be really catastrophic - billions could die.
Our global economy runs on energy, and over 80% of it is still fossil fuels, with nuclear and other non-renewables providing another 10%.
If we switch to renewables tomorrow, 90% of our energy will be lost, and the global economy will sink like the Titanic.
Keeping nuclear power would merely add a second lifeboat as the great ship sinks.
Even if the energy loss were spread out over decades, the final result would still be the same.
Humankind could not produce enough food, clothing and shelter.
Jobs would vanish.
Massive starvation, disease and death would result.
Hard physical labor would once again become the norm.
Even though life could be maintained for some portion of humanity, liberty and happiness would be lost.
Let’s stop pretending.
The prescribed cure for Climate Apocalypse is far worse than the purported disease.
If we don’t use coal, oil and natural gas for energy, many of the 7 billion of us now alive must die.
Those who survive will be impoverished and enslaved, toiling and scavenging for food by day, and fearing the darkness by night – except for the privileged few who still have money, energy and power.
The sudden and dramatic growth of human life, liberty, and happiness since the industrial revolution was achieved by replacing muscle power with coal and oil power.
Before that, Hillsdale College professor of history Burt Folsom points out, only the wealthy could afford whale oil and candles.
Everyone else had to go to bed early, and often hungry, when the sun went down, sleeping to recover enough energy to work – only to repeat the daily cycle yet again.
Freedom of thought and travel had little real worth when we were too tired to think or walk.
The petroleum age saved whales from the brink of extinction – and brought cheap kerosene to the masses, so that they could read at night, bringing light into their lives and their brains.
The premature switch to renewable energy recommended by the false prophets of Climate Apocalypse is really just one step in an industrial counter-revolution devoutly desired by those discontented with modern life in free market democracies – and ready to erase our hard-won prosperity and freedom.
The Climate Apocalypse global warming bad news is rewarded by big money from the government and servile amplification from traditional big news media – while the news of global cooling is silenced and unheard, stifled by both traditional media and most of today’s social media platforms.
We should all be suspicious of the motives of those who push this bad news, and welcome those who push back.
Dr. Willie Soon is one scientist, although by no means the only one, who has the courage to stand up to big money, big government, big (pseudo) science, big media and big environmentalism to spread the news.
It’s high time we all heard it.
The good news from Dr. Soon and his fellow solar scientists is that the increase in global temperatures since 1800 was caused by two centuries of increasing solar output – not by human use of coal and oil.
But then solar output began to fall around 2000, in a repetition of a well-known 200-year cycle of solar activity, and global warming stopped. That’s more news that too few people know.
The purveyors of Climate Apocalypse have no explanation for this two-decade failure of their prophecy, which fortunately for all of humanity shows the superiority of solar science over apocalyptic warming foretold by computer models, hysteria and headlines – but not by real-world evidence.
Finally, solar science says we should expect steady global cooling until about mid-century, when solar activity will recover and temperatures begin to warm once again.
Once again, this will be due to solar activity, and not to fossil fuels or carbon dioxide emissions.
In the best news of all, that means humanity’s successful pursuit of life, liberty, happiness, and better living standards and healthcare needn’t be stopped by Climate Apocalypse – or its prescribed cure.
The only thing we have to fear is the fear of Climate Apocalypse itself.
Equally important, a warmer or cooler planet with more atmospheric CO2 and plentiful, reliable, affordable fossil fuel and nuclear energy would be infinitely preferable to a cooler planet with less CO2 and only expensive, intermittent, weather-dependent wind, solar and biofuel energy.
At the very least, humankind has an historic opportunity to witness a crucial test between two scientific hypotheses of enormous consequence.
The next decade or two will reveal whether Earth warms or cools.
Surely all right-minded people must hope that it cools – and that the fear-mongering of imminent global warming apocalypse cools as well.
I might add that no one should wish the current severe Chicago-style polar vortex cold on anyone.
I extend my sympathies and prayers to all who are now suffering from the cold.
But be of good cheer in the knowledge that this cold-snap at least puts the lie to vastly worse climate scare global warming stories.
I also wouldn’t wish on anyone the “Green New Deal” energy reality of February 1, 2019 – when wind power provided 1.5% of the energy that kept lights on and homes warm in America’s Mid-Atlantic region.
This, while solar provided zero energy; while the derided and despised coal, natural gas and nuclear power provided a whopping 93% or that energy!
Imagine the cold, misery and death toll under 100% pseudo-renewable energy."
We are now in the climate of global cooling under the Sun's Grand Minimum.
It is vital that anyone living in geographic regions now being affected by the climate of global cooling then think long and hard about relocating as the extreme weather will get worse and dominate the years and decades to come. If you want a forecast to relocate then contact me at astro730@gmail.com.
~ Theodore White, astromet.sci |
