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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

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Jan 9 4:00 PM EST

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To: Joseph Silent who wrote (121504)	3/9/2019 1:07:13 PM
From: robert b furman	2 Recommendations Recommended By Joseph Silent the longhorn Read Replies (4) of 221611

Hi Joseph, I think the odds are very high. China now sees what going outside of the WTO gets them in the long run - read that ZTE and Hauwei) . To benefit from US technology, while sharing their market, will accelerate their development vs. going it alone and getting crosswise with the rest of the world ( not too mention it is slower). The level of debt they've embraced to artificially grow (with a huge waste of finite resources/assets) points out the flaws of their past actions. China will benefit to a greater degree to embrace capitalists market based pricing. It eliminates or at least curbs the excess waste of resources. I think the trade deal will be done absolutely. It will not be complete - but "you need what I have and I need what you have) will become balanced. When China sees doing business straight up with the colonialist pigs is actually good/better business for both, it will blossom and grow to much greater levels for both participants. I think XI is on board with that thinking and has to persuade the Comminist die hards back home. I'm always an optimist, but that is the law of globalist trade by definition. It gets screwed up when corruption mingles trade with politicians who always want something for themselves to get something else done for someone else, and that tilts the fair trade balance i.e. non reciprocal tarriffs. Trump is the first politicain to expect equality/reciprocity as fair in negotiating these trade rules. Other U.S. politicians exercised "good enough" and "money for me" in all of the past trade deals. A new sherriff is in town and he's talking "America First" - which in time, and after some self inflicted pain, will become embraced by vastly more Americans as they see the political arm of the U.S. government swinging for them rather than selling them out. Just my take, but I do beieve it will evolve and certainly not by this April. Bob

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