I thought that way for a while, and I think Nancy Pelosi is also afraid of, that Trump Impeachment may end up helping Trump's reelection chances by solidifying his base. But it is precisely the wrong thinking.
Firstly, there is no guarantee that Trump will lose or win regardless the Impeachment.
Secondly, the Dems are reading the Clinton-impeachment lessons in a wrong way. We are only looking at how it helped Bill Clinton, during and immediately after, but we are not looking at the fact that so much hatred this impeachment has raised against Hillary and against the Democrats in general in the American public. The working-class whites and rural voters started turning away from the Dems with the clinton-impeachment or at least this added to their anti-Dems sentiments -- although on the surface it is the stagnant economy and Dems inability to embrace them, I think the outrageous acts by Newt Gingrich and Republicans helped turn these crucial voting block away from the Dems.
Thirdly, the Clinton-impeachment helped the Republicans in the long run. Read below:
"But consider what followed.
First, the Republicans went on to take or hold the White House in three of the next five presidential elections — including the 2016 race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
And while Democrats did gain a handful of House seats in midterm elections in 1998, the Republicans maintained control for eight more years, until disapproval of the Iraq war finally tipped Congress to the Democrats in 2006.
On the Senate side in 1998, the Republicans maintained their 55-45 majority. With the exception of a 17-month window in 2002 and 2003, Republicans controlled the Senate until 2006. In short, the Republican wave of 1994 endured for nearly a decade after the failed impeachment.
It’s true that Mr. Clinton was not removed from office, but Republicans used the fact of his impeachment as a cudgel first against his vice president, Al Gore, and later against his wife. While its impact can’t be quantified, it sure didn’t help either in their election bids.
Finally, and most important, the very myth that the 1998 impeachment hurt Republicans protects them today, when pressure to move against Mr. Trump is met with concerns about the political fallout. Clearly, we need to reconsider that myth."
I think the outcome of 2020 election is unknowable. And the Dems must do what is right for the people, country and history. Impeach Trump. His High Crimes exceeded the threshold for by many many times. Not impeaching Trump in spite of the mounting evidences in the plain sight will come haunt the Democrats for decades. Do it now. |
