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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 40.56+10.2%Nov 28 9:30 AM EST

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To: Time Traveler who wrote (43614)1/20/1998 3:47:00 AM
From: Joseph Pareti  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
Hi John,

with some delay :-)
I've built your formulas and numbers for AMD-k6 and intel
into an excel spreadsheet, also using
www4.techstocks.com

I essentially got the same results as you did. In
particular I estimate the AMD loss at 55M$ (your value was
$52M$, because you assumed #shipped-k6 at 1.6M, whereas
I worked it out from yield=31%, 2800 wafers/week, 140 dice/wafer.
If I bang in 1.6M into my model I also calculate the $52M loss
as you did, so we have the same model).

The next question as you remarked is to now do some
what-if analysis. First of all, AMD reported a significantly
lower loss that we calculate. Have you figured out
what are the main factors leading to that ?

Thanks again,

Joseph
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