US Inflation and What To Do About It Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : US Inflation and What To Do About It

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (965)	3/29/2019 4:48:40 PM
From: John Vosilla	Read Replies (1) of 1504

This wasn’t just any old reversal, though. It occurred along the same long-term downtrend line that produced reversals in the years 2000 and 2007. Interest rates can provide insight into the economy long before pundits begin reporting on it. Could the recent decline in interest rates be a signal that the economy is beginning to sputter? At a minimum, it’s worth watching! Stay tuned! The smart economic scholars were reading this board for several weeks...lol So what is the deal with a sharp move up in oil prices even as the yields at the longer end of the yield curve dropped substantially? Got to watch the five year especially in 2.20% range. Fed for sure ain't raising any time soon.. I could be wrong but don't think we hit any serious downturn unless yield curve flattens out at much higher levels near 3.5% and gas prices at the pump nationwide at $3.50. But longer this economic cycle continues at current levels economy will be more sensitive to a rise and we might be talking 3% and $3.00 gas in say 2022-23 as enough to finally crash the economy with an increasingly impotent fed...

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