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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 421.63-0.1%Jan 13 4:00 PM EST
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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (148083)4/28/2019 9:24:01 AM
From: Elroy Jetson1 Recommendation

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elmatador

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The underlying problem in commercial airlines is a lack of qualified pilots.

When airlines flew large aircraft on a hub and spoke system, former fighter pilots provided all of the pilots needed. To the extent less qualified pilots were needed, they were flying smaller propeller driven aircraft.

With market research Boeing foresaw the market shifting to direct links, where passengers would be carried directly from their origin to their destination on a smaller jet aircraft. This shift left a very tiny market for the A380. forbes.com

The market shifted to more and smaller jet aircraft which could fly full point to point. The problem this created was a much larger number of jets than there were qualified pilots.

As money talks, first world airlines hire all of the qualified pilots they need and provide additional training for unusual airports or planes with different handling characteristics while Third World Airlines are employing pilots who could not even be hired to fly cargo jets in wealthier nations.

One method of minimizing this training problem is Airbus and Boeing keep the same flight qualification rating between models if at all possible.

But ss you will see below the Airbus change in design to fly by wire still leads to problems as pilots have still not fully adapted from yokes to sidesticks.

To achieve better fuel economy Airbus relied on the tail elevators for lift in addition to the wings rather than being used as a spoiler. As a result the aircraft flown by hand will pitch down into a dive which the pilot needs to correct for.

In Air France 447, the least qualified pilot Bonin corrected too much for this handling quirk leaving flight 444 in a stall for 15 minutes with 75 stall warnings which neither co-pilot addressed until the chief pilot came on-deck.

Part of the problem is the co-pilot with 2,800 hours took control when the flight computers went down rather than the copilot with 6,000 hours flight-time. When the chief pilot arrived Bonin finally said he'd been pulling back on the stick since the flight computers failed. The bigger problem is the pilots had become over-reliant on flight automation and didn't have the experience they needed to fly the aircraft by themselves.



It's possible for a novice to fly a plane with a lot of assistance, but this also requires a lot of luck.

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