To David Horne and the thread:
The best site for information on LMDS is
ajs2.com
From the links posted there, it is also easy to access the FCC site where the auction information is posted. On the CVUS's Yahoo thread, there was a post indicating that the hearing for the RBOC appeal of the FCC auction rules took place last Friday. No ruling has been issued yet, but the questions from one of the judges seemed to indicate some support for the government's position. It looks like the chances are good that the auction will proceed as scheduled.
Except for CVUS, which is a LMDS operator, and which may be a risky investment (the company is still losing money as it builds its infrastructure and signs up customers), one of the best LMDS plays may be Stanford Telecom (STII), which is small enough to be affected by LMDS revenue. HLIT is another play (its Israeli subsidiary makes LMDS modems), but I expect that the top LMDS equipment vendors in the US will be HP/Stanford Telecom and Bosch Telecom. Outside the US, I believe Phillips, Siemens and NEC make LMDS equipment, but as you point out, they are all much too big to be impacted positively by any LMDS revenue.
As you indicate, LMDS may have a big impact abroad (some experimental systems have been deployed in Europe, and LMCS service is being rolled out in Canada). In particular, it represents a cheap and inexpensive way to deploy telephone/Intenet/video services in countries which do not have yet an extensive phone and cable infrastructure.
Best regards,
Bernard Levy |