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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: William H Huebl who wrote (13397)1/21/1998 8:33:00 PM
From: Barbara Barry  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Bill,
Sorry about the calls, but another rally is around the corner...IMHO.
Look at a 2 day...not so much damage. I agree that 5 days would be the worst case but I think the downside is much shorter. I think Feb will allow a rally barring any terrible "new" news. Keep an eye on that VIX.If we go much lower I will buy some calls...the puts for april or march should get very interesting as by then more companies will have a better idea of the impact.We will have to see then what DSO's and recievables look like etc.I lost a lot of money once when an Asian company decided to make their payment terms over 12 months and it nearly busted the company that I held! I am bearish until we get more insight into 1Q and 2Q earnings outlook,but that doesn't mean we can't pick up calls for a day or two over the next two weeks.You predicted this volatility from the get-go...so now be nimble and trust your good calls.The key(I think!) is to think very short term and take little profits.
By the way, I still use the trin chart with the vix for short term...and the A/D tells a little longer story.As Don has said we are in a range so lets take advantage of it.NOW, March may be a diffferent story??Neither one of us does long range"stuff" but if I were to get bold...I would say the spring correction would help set us up for new highs later in the year...YUCK!That sounds like some analyst's mumbo-jumbo..sorry....I forgot myself for the moment!<VBG>
Regards,
Barbara
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