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Strategies & Market Trends : US Inflation and What To Do About It

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (1047)7/23/2019 9:14:38 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) of 1504
 
Will have to revisit your prediction in another year....LOL Will be interesting the timing of the coming downturn obviously the many Trump haters in positions of power will do what they can to implode the economy by summer 2020? Do you think the timing and severity of the 2008 downturn was a just a coincidence to ensure Obama presidency?? The conspiracy theorist in me wonders sometimes...

My own unique thoughts.....need yield curve inversion for a period of time six months+ ( if they cut twice yield curve will be steep again should long rates remain at current levels), need oil prices at the top end of the entire cycle for a sustained period of time to do damage( $3.50+ national unleaded not anywhere near that) also need large homebuilders to crash near 75% over 24-30 months from the peak prior to onset of recession (no where near that as many just double topped the old Jan 2018 highs so should crash hard next 6-9 months to pan out watching some weakness Lennar and Toll Brothers for clues to that possibility)
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