Ed,
I bet and assume that Q2's report will be another positive surprise,
which enables to boost Apple stock above $25 after April. However,
that's my optimistic view. Q2's results are a phychological breaking
point. If it is beyond expectation, then the stock will go over
the barrier, otherwise, it will be lingering around $20. Sometimes,
actually often my guesses were wrong. I tend to compare Apple with
IBM, Applied Material, and AT&T's past 12-month patterns, to make a
conclusion that Apple will be at certain price in the near future (3-6 months). Besides, I get used to using probability and operations
research techniques to quantify and forecast Apple's trend. Right or
wrong, who knows?
Phil |
