Numbers that will re-elect Trump
The polls show this or that. I did not worry about them in 2016. I do not worry about them now. The numbers that matter are compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and they are looking fine.
There is no national election. Instead we have 51 elections in the states and D.C. While the national unemployment rate of 3.7% is good (four years ago it was 5.1%), it is the state unemployment figures that matter.
Donald John Trump promised jobs.
President Donald John Trump delivered.
The latest state unemployment figures are from July which I will compare (in parenthesis) to November 2016.
Michigan 4.3% (4.9%)
Pennsylvania 3.9% (5.7%)
Wisconsin 3.0% (4.1%)Those are the three Blue Wall states that made Donald John Trump president. Wisconsin's unemployment is at a record low.
Obama left President Trump with unemployment at 4.9%.
45 states are below that today.
David Catron of American Spectator noticed this. He wrote, "The Democrats have attempted to repair the damaged wall, but it has only weakened further as the unemployed voters who took a chance on Trump have found jobs. They won’t desert him next year, which means the crumbling blue ramparts will completely collapse in 2020.
"These voters, many of whom found themselves out of work for the first time in their lives during the Obama years, see the resurgence of the job market since the last election as a promise kept by the president. In states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, unemployment has plummeted. In Pennsylvania, for example, Obama and his Democratic accomplices declared war on coal and drove unemployment to a peak of 8.8 percent. It was still 5.2 percent when President Trump took office. Unemployment is now 3.9 percent. In 2016, the President won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes, less than 1 percent. He will win by a far larger margin next year."
He cited a poll by Dan Pfeiffer, an adviser to President Obama, who wrote, "Trump is much more popular in Wisconsin than he is nationally. As of this writing, Trump’s national approval rating in the FiveThirtyEight polling average is 41.9-53.3 percent. According to our poll, his approval in Wisconsin is 48-51 percent.
"Trump’s approval on the economy is even higher, at 50-48 percent. This has given Republicans a 10-point advantage on the question of which party voters trust to handle the economy and jobs, including an 18-point advantage among independents and a 25-point advantage among undecided voters. Republicans also have an advantage among all of these groups on the issue of taxes, even though poll after poll shows that Trump’s tax cut for the rich is wildly unpopular. The candidate who wins the economic debate usually wins the election, and Trump enters the Wisconsin race with a very real advantage."
Pfeiffer said the message that resonates with voters in Wisconsin is “Since Trump became president, we’ve created millions of jobs and unemployment rates are the lowest they’ve been in decades.”
Because Democrats have refused to give President Trump an inch on trade, tax cuts, or the border, Democrats cannot take a smidgen of credit. Indeed, their hysteric predictions of doom underscore that President Trump was right and they were wrong on trade, wrong on tax cuts, and wrong on the border.
I have written several times that the reason we have peaceful transitions of power is to give the losing party time to accept and recover from its loss.
But Obama the Arrogant refused to be a gentleman. He colluded with CNN to hang on President Trump a fraudulent dossier that led to the Mueller witch hunt which led to Democrats serving a nothingburger to Americans.
A lot will happen in the next year but the re-election of President Trump looks possible for now. |
