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Strategies & Market Trends : US Inflation and What To Do About It
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To: John Vosilla who wrote (1122)10/2/2019 3:49:02 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) of 1504
 
You have more experience than I on the housing market, so you are likely right on that. However, housing caused the last recession and is not likely to cause the next recession. Corporate bond markets are a mess, though. Banks are getting monkey hammered by the low rates and messy, semi-inverted curve. Pensions and Insurance companies are not doing well either. The China trade war is another epicenter of discontent. Farmers are in very big trouble. I could go on, but we have many, many possible causes for the next recession. We'll see which black swan decides to make itself the next big one, but as you know, I've been conservatively invested for two years now. The last two years have seen me gain around 7-8% per year. That alone is insane, given how conservatively I was invested. Now, I went even more conservative, with 1/3 cash and the rest short dated treasuries. So I'm positioned for a crash. BTW, even Rarebird is in cash now. Let's see what happens! Be careful out there!
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