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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: J_F_Shepard who wrote (1169953)10/10/2019 3:23:59 PM
From: longnshort  Read Replies (1) of 1572957
 
did you read the article, look at the dynamics of those polls

Huffington Post surveyed 1000 US citizens, not likely voters, September 30 – October 1. This is relevant since only about half of eligible voters actually vote in elections. The poll reported that President Trump should be impeached by a 44 to 40 percent margin. Yet their survey population was 36 percent Democrat and only 24 percent Republican, a 12-point sampling difference, three times larger than the poll margin.

If you conduct such a poll in downtown Denver or Seattle, you would get a similar result, but that’s not a true survey of America.

The Economist/YouGov Poll from September 28 – October 1 also surveyed US citizens, not likely voters. Their survey sample was also weighted Democrat, skewing the results, with 53 percent Democrat and only 36 percent Republican, 17-point difference. Not surprisingly, the survey population thought the House should try to impeach Trump by a 44 to 37 percent margin, less than half the difference compared to party affiliation.

Let’s look at one more poll, from Monmouth University from September 23-29. The sample was better than the above two polls, favoring Democrats by only four points, 30 percent Democrat and 26 percent Republican. Such a sample produced a different result too. When asked if President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, 44 percent said yes compared with 52 percent saying no.
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