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Non-Tech : The Brazil Board

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From: DinoNavarre10/24/2019 11:01:38 AM
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Any opinion on this company.... AFYA ??? I recently added them to a tracking portfolio.

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Raj Venkatesan, Trinity Alps Capital Partners (long only, global and sector agnostic)

Idea: Afya (Brazil – but trades as an ADR)

• Focused on medical education
• Good reform happening in Brazil that are tailwinds to the business
• Population in Brazil is aging and healthcare spend is growing at low double digits
• Low number of doctors on a per capital basis and applicants/openings for med schools have declined
• 70% of medical education in Brazil is private
• Path to become a doctor and specialist is long (like the US)
• Earnings power of a specialist doctor is very high
• Payback for general physician education is 5 years
• Pure play way to play medicine in Brazil
• Multiple growth levers:
o TAM doubles in 5 years to R$32B
o Roll up strategy
o Regulated brownfield and greenfield growth opps
o Asset light monetization of content - vertical and horizontal
• Value: Think Afya is a double
• Risks: Macro/currency, regulatory framework, Recent IPO/limited history

Read more: marketfolly.com
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