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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: skinowski who wrote (701999)1/26/2020 3:19:34 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) of 794157
 
This latest virus seems to be somewhere between 0.1 and 3% mortality due to poor measurement of number of cases though mortality figures are probably about right. Dead people are easy to diagnose and count. Those with "flu" who stay home and are not counted due to the illness not being bad enough to go to a doctor or hospital.

Swine flu H1N1 for example came through New Zealand several years ago. I've had a LOT of flus and colds over decades and that one was long-lasting and nasty, but I didn't bother with a doctor as it wasn't bad. So I wasn't counted. It's mortality was low and I guess about the same as this latest corona virus.

2% mortality is pretty bad but since it's mostly the old and sickly who will die [I guess in this case though have not seen that], it's not a calamitous catastrophe.

As with sars, H5N1, swine flu I guess this one will have a worse effect in China than in the rest of the world and won't touch Africa. Or India. And hopefully not Vietnam which I'll be in next week.

The one that will smash the world is a high mortality [about 70%] infection which combines with a normal virulent human flu in a particular victim to produce a giga virus which is extremely infectious and also fatal at about 70% rate.

This one is a fizzer.

Mqurice
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