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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 374.22-0.2%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST
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Horgad
To: bull_dozer who wrote (152872)2/1/2020 1:09:05 PM
From: Lazarus1 Recommendation   of 217942
 
The answer to your question lies in this statement:

Influenza has already sickened at least 15 million Americans this season, hospitalizing 140,000 and killing 8,200, according to the CDC.
Do the math:

The incidents of death in the common flue are 8200 / 15000000 = .00054%

or around 540 deaths per million infected

The incidents of death in the coronavirus is 259 death out of 12,024 cases

( using current stats from the John Hopkins tracker )

259 / 12024 = 0215%

or around 21,500 cases per million

THE CURRENT DEATH RATE OF THOSE INFECTED WITH THE CORONAVIRUS IS AROUND 39 TIMES GREATER THAN THE COMMON FLU.

OR TO PUT IT ANOTHER WAY -- IF 15 MILLION PEOPLE CATCH THE CORONAVIRUS AT THE CURRENT DEATH RATE THERE WOULD BE ~ 322,500 DEATHS

The two fear factors of a pandemic are:
  • high exponential growth rate.
  • high death rate.


As for growth rate... more people have been infected with the corona virus in one month than were infected with the SARS virus in 6 months.






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