SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: skinowski who wrote (702628)2/1/2020 3:42:33 PM
From: Crony1 Recommendation

Recommended By
LindyBill

  Read Replies (3) of 793966
 
Re: I think it still makes sense to consider the numbers of “confirmed” cases - because, next to the number of those who lost their lives, this is firm data.

That data doesn't tell us what percentage of total infected are 'confirmed cases'.
Because only very sick would go to a hospital in Wuhan.

Don't forget , this is a regular flu season.

Now lets put yourself in a shoes of a regular Wuhan resident who has a running nose or flu like symptoms. There is probably 70% chance this is just a regular flu and 30% it is a corona virus. And he knows that majority of infected with corona virus are recovered on their own.

So would he rush to a hospital? What if he has a regular flu and if he goes to a hospital and spends several hours next to hundred infected people - he would defiantly get the corona virus.
So the most logical thing to do is to sit home and go to a hospital only when one feels really bad.

So, yes we now know that out of those who got severe symptoms, the mortality rate is 2-4%. But we don't know what percent of total infected get severe symptoms.

What would help if the Chinese do some massive random testing. Just take the address of 50 of those 'confirmed cases' who live in big apartment buildings and and test everyone in those building.
So let's say they test 100,000 residents and they might find 5000 infected who show mild symptoms or no symptoms. That would give us the big picture that actually matter: what percentage of infected develop serious health complications.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News