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Strategies & Market Trends : Underexposed Technical Analysis
AQN 5.875+0.4%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: Underexposed who wrote (745)2/1/2020 9:11:18 PM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (1) of 914
 
HI UE,

Good advice.

Really glad I sold those BRKS calls ( over 50% of the premium has vaporized in a week and a half).

My thoughts on a retrace, which we are seeing unfold - it'll take more time I think.

Expecting a short bounce next week and then more downside.

If we call the wave that started on 10/03/2019 @ 2855.94 and ended on 1/22/2020 @ 3337.77 an impulse wave 3 of 5, then we should see retraces to the following possible numbers ( 4 0f 5) :

1) 23.6 @3222
2) 38.2 @ 3152
3) 50.0 @ 3095
4) 61.8 @ 3038

This dip through friday has a fairly clear ABC down.

I'm thinking we need that to morph that into a bigger A, and next week's bounce gives us a short B with a C yet to follow.

My favorite read would be a ABC X ABC with a bounce next week being the X. That would give us a 4 down that would be complex vs the simple 2 we had as an ABC irregular flat ( that took up May through October of 2019.

Looking forward to your portfolio review tomorrow.

Bob
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