| | | Imho, if it’s a weapon, it’s a funny one - lethal mostly against citizens of Hubei.
Mortality in Hubei is... let’s see... 414 deaths out of 13,552 confirmed cases - 3.14%
Mortality in China outside Hubei and worldwide is... 0.17% — based on 7067 cases (total 20,589 minus the cases in Hubei), and 12 deaths.
gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com
Quite fascinating. Mortality based on confirmed cases is about 18.5 times higher in Hubei. How is this possible?
The only explanation I can think of is that in Hubei they have, in fact, a huge number of mild (untested) cases - but so far, only the worst ones came to light. In other locations, OTOH, everyone who gets even a little sick - and even contacts - get tested.
I’d expect that in time, the overall mortality will be far lower than what it is now in Hubei. It will be much closer to what it is throughout the rest of the world.
Edit — they are updating the site real time. Just noticed - the number of deaths outside Hubei is up tp 13 - so, mortality will be a small fraction higher. |
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