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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 421.32

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Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: ggersh who wrote (153040)	2/6/2020 10:46:42 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) of 219493

Update ... On 7 Feb 2020, at 11:20 AM, D wrote: Coronavirus (N) update at 1100hrs HKT on Thursday, Feb 7, 2020 Key Take: The number of suspected cases reported by the Chinese Authorities has continued to decline. It is still early days, but this may indicate that the spread of the disease within China may be coming under control. A major test will be the return of 2-3million people from the provinces to home this weekend as the prolonged Spring Festival holiday ends. The disease has a 10 to 14 day incubation period There are also problems with today’s data. China has announced total and new infections and deaths 00.00Hrs HKT last night for the country as a whole. But a significant number of provinces have not reported since Feb 5.- notably Hubei (the locus of the epidemic). We use individual province’s data to cross check the China Mainland total data from Beijing. We also use it to compute the data for Hubei and the rest of the country to check the geographical spread of Coronavirus within China. We cannot do this reliably today, though what data we have is given in the data base. Between 1030hrs HKT on Feb 7, 2020 and our last update yesterday at the same time: 1. The number of new confirmed cases globally totalled 3205 down from 3723 during the previous 24 hrs. Total confirmed cases globally are now 31481. 2. In China Mainland new confirmed cases fell to 3143 from 3694. Total confirmed cases are 31161. Although the rate of new infections in China Mainland has been down over the last two days, this must be set in the context of current daily infections being 3 times higher than 7 days ago. 3. There were 62 new case outside China Mainland up from 29 the previous day. Total cases outside China Mainland are now 320. The major contributors to the increase were Japan (45 to 86 – all related to the infected cruise ship); Singapore (28 to 30); Hong Kong (21 to 24) and Taiwan (11 to 16). Both Australia and Germany had one extra case each. 4. Globally fatalities rose from 565 to 638 – all of the increase being in China (probably Wuhan). Fatalities have risen from 563 to 636 in China Mainland. 5. The fatality rate globally rose slightly overnight from 2.00% to 2.03%. 6. The number of people who have recovered globally is 1536 today, 4.9% of declared cases, compared to 1208 yesterday. 7. Globally the number of new Coronavirus (N) cases per day is currently about 10 times that of SARS at the same stage of the epidemic. But the death rate is lower (2.03% v 9.6%) and the spread of the disease outside China slower.

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