| | | Sam, there are polls of other states.
538:
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So let’s get back to the model. Our forecast now gives Sanders about a 1 in 2 chance of winning a majority of pledged delegates. The second likeliest outcome (1 in 4 chance) is that no candidate wins a majority. After that, the next-strongest candidate is former Vice President Joe Biden, who has roughly a 1 in 5 shot (20 percent). No other candidate is currently above 5 percent, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (5 percent and 3 percent, respectively).
fivethirtyeight.com
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Bernie is now the leading candidate to be nominated
This is silly. Winning the Iowa caucus does not make anyone the "leading candidate". And in any case, if we assume that it does, then Mayor Pete is right there with him.
You let your what you desire guide your words, which sometimes isn't a bad thing. But in politics, war and business, it is. |
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