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Technology Stocks : RGFX Raster Graphics
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To: Linda Kaplan who wrote (486)1/25/1998 6:12:00 PM
From: ted birnbaum  Read Replies (1) of 593
 
Well here is what I am thinking,

If RGFX comes out with decent earnings and no black clouds then
the stock should move up to 9'ish over 60 days or so. If not
the book value should support it in the Mid 3's.

I doubt it will trade in the current range either way but I do expect
it to move up slighly b4 earnings near 5.

So if I buy FEB 5 puts at 3/8 and have MAY 5 calls here are the
two possiblities:

Stock tanks to 3.5 after earnings:

Feb puts worth 1.75 Cost 3/8 profit 1 3/8

May calls worth 3/8 Cost 3/4 loss 3/8

Net gain 1.00

Stock runs to 9 after earnings and time:

Feb puts worth 0 Cost 3/8 Loss 3/8
May calls worth 4.5 cost 3/4 gain 2.75

Net gain 2 3/8

This plan fails if the stock stays flat.
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