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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks
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To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (1511)1/25/1998 9:13:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) of 18691
 
Roger; All well and good, but still have you looked at the amount
of short interest, and do you know were you are on that totum
pole..or are you following what I'm getting at..
I don't analize stocks and hardly pay attention to news, which
is always already know and mostly priced into a issue.
I do more of a Handicapping thingy, looking for angles that
are not so self evident. The ratio of Short intersest, it's
increase/decrease is one of the primary weightings I use to Handicap
a stock that has a lot of short interest, and this one does.
You have to have an idea of were you are in the short pecking
order or how can you reasonable set any kind of target ?
Grabing numbers out of the sky don't fit my style.
She looks like a dead duck, but 752,434 of her shares were
shorted back in OCT at a much higher price..in Dec that
was up to 801,959 about 23% of her float, I would need the
Jan 15th number to deduce the chances of a short squeez
and that's not posted yet. I feel most of that 23% I did
find is short at $8 or above, a good bit at $20 I get
nervious thinking I'm holding the short end of a stick
of the shorts involved even if she looks like a sure thing
to crash and burn I want some odds.
I've seen to many crash and burn babies burn the shorts.
Jim
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