If you were looking for reasons to suspect that Donald Trump's reelection is going to be—at best—a close-run thing, have a look at D turnout in the primaries from 2016 to 2020:TX 2016: 1.44 million 2020: 1.97 millionVA 2016: 0.79 million 2020: 1.32 millionNC 2016: 1.14 million 2020: 1.32 millionThose are just the battleground states. (Turnout was also vastly increased in Minnesota and Colorado, though that's because they shifted from caucuses in 2016 to primaries in 2020.)
What is this telling us? It's telling us that despite the fact that there is no rock-star Democratic candidate and that their presumptive nominee doesn't fill arenas with screaming fans, enthusiasm is running very high among Democratic voters. thebulwark |