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Strategies & Market Trends : Taking Advantage of a Sharply Changing Environment

NRG 163.70

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Nov 25 3:59 PM EST

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To: Doug R who wrote (3182)	3/7/2020 11:22:19 PM
From: Doug R	1 Recommendation of 6337

14 days as estimated incubation period. Delay in testing and confirmation up to now is approx. 1 week from symptom onset. Current "reported confirmed" numbers are consequently 3 weeks behind actual. 5 day doubling period. Within that 3 week time frame there are 4 doubling periods. Run that doubling time on the current numbers for 3 weeks. It's likely that that's where actual things are "in the now". With the global number of "reported confirmed" breaking over 100,000 now, the doubling rate puts the "in the now" number at one billion in early May. Shortly after that, "in the now" cases hit one million in the US. An inflection point if not contained by then. The government has, I'm very sure, chosen their own series of inflection points that, if reached, will trigger a planned federal response. Inflection point responses here have already started ramping up on the local and state levels. On the fear/greed scale of human response, this trend is going to have some very strong momentum and government responses, local, state and federal, will reach blow-off top proportions.

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