SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
Recommended by:
Maple MAGA
Triffin
To: Triffin who wrote (707022)3/15/2020 11:33:22 PM
From: skinowski2 Recommendations   of 793928
 
This is the first time in history that the entire planet is watching a pandemic unfold on a daily basis, play by play. This makes the numbers more real. Very different from getting a general summary months later after the fact.

Distancing works, but if it’s strict and effective, it may prevent herd immunity from developing - and the disease may actually return. I’d worry about that when the time comes. Maybe we’ll have good vaccines by then.

Found an article drumming the same drum I’ve been:


Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Mar 13;26(6). doi: 10.3201/eid2606.200320. [Epub ahead of print]
Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.
Wilson N, Kvalsvig A, Barnard LT, Baker MG.
Abstract
We estimated the case-fatality risk for 2019 novel coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Edit - I still think their higher numbers of up up to 3% are a mistake due to testing being skewed towards severe cases.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News