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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 393.24

+1.1%

Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (154652)	3/18/2020 7:21:36 AM
From: sense	Read Replies (1) of 218449

the issues are returnee-borne infection, re-start / kick-start work re-flare, whether warm weather does anything to the foe, and whether seasonal perennial I do expect that China has turned the corner... They started out behind, doing all the wrong things... and then made some dramatic and difficult course corrections that "should" have changed the ability of the virus to sustain the prior pace. I'm still distrustful of the numbers that have been reported... much less distrustful of the reports that the worst is over in China, now... which is good news. As far as re-infection risks... once the current isolation is lifted... its still too soon to tell how "social" this virus will prove to be, and how resilient in rebound. There's a lot to worry about there... including that it may prove to be even worse to address in round II. If people re-aggregating spawns a re-acceleration... it will leave us needing innovation to resolve and manage the risks on an ongoing and individual basis. Less than ideal. I'm not optimistic about weather helping much... nor about there being a seasonal relief with a virus that's not one for which we've got innate resistance to help us. It seems likely that it will be here for as a thorn in our sides for a while... like others that have advanced in pulses and taken two or three years to resolve... but we can hope not. There will be solutions found if that's the case... but they may not happen quickly enough to enable us to just pick up where we left off and get back to work... without major changes needed to enable that. Should know soon, anyway...

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