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AMD 249.66+7.6%Jan 21 3:59 PM EST
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To: fastpathguru who wrote (36216)3/20/2020 11:38:59 PM
From: eetnoyerRead Replies (2) of 73904
 
It sounds as if you're conceding that controlling borders is an effective means of restricting undesirable items, people and activities from entering our population.

And yes, the spike in reported cases was expected, as testing limitations early caused known underreporting. It would be more informative to shift the early data points up to match the less-inaccurate trend line now that it's being resolved. Obviously the trend line will always be somewhat below the actual cases due to inevitable lag. Any change in spread rate must be gauged against a relatively steady-state rate of testing.

One request. Please provide evidence that no preparations were being made after the exceptional step of restricting travel from China was taken. It would seem unlikely to me that no consideration was given to next steps at that point. Regardless, our response has been massively more open and transparent than that of China. The early information available out of China was massively distorted, to the point of being nearly useless. Italy, through close ties with China on the Belt and Road initiative seems to be the most grievously wounded (potentially exceeded by Iran). Of those 3, the data from Italy is the only set that I wouldn't necessarily take with an Uluru-sized grain of salt, even today.
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