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Biotech / Medical : Coronavirus / COVID-19 Pandemic

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To: zax who wrote (141)	3/22/2020 6:40:25 AM
From: zax	Read Replies (1) of 22882

I make no representation of the chart in red below, other than that it is a curve fitting exercise of a data set to the normalized weighted sums of two log-normal probability distributions, using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. It ignores a baseline of 398. Today's data point caused the projection as to when growth begins to slow to revise upward. I'll leave you to eyeball where this model projects we may be going yourself. Tomorrow's numbers will likely result in a revised projection. The RMS error today is 735.40 (45.963).

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