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Politics : Sioux Nation
DJT 13.09-1.8%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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Arthur Radley
To: Arthur Radley who wrote (325061)4/7/2020 4:55:51 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 360951
 
The rate of increase from the day before yesterday, is aligned with the Linear+exponential decay model. That one day drop seems an anomaly at the moment.

What I am saying is that we had one day that we fell even below the lowest range of the my model. But then we have continued from that point according to the model.

One place that you may want to check is the IHME site. Until very recently they had a fat hill and estimated the need for 262k beds. Now it is a sharp mountain that needs only 140k beds. We'll see how they change it after today...in fact I think I will stop my modeling and defer to them.
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