| | | Let me give you a mathematical explanation to churn a few brain cycles on... since you like to think in thermodynamic outcomes instead of kinetic ones.
The curve is the curve. Flattening the curve,,, does not change what is under it. Let me repeat that. Flattening the curve,,, does not change what is under it.
1.) Have consulted with everybody i know. Nobody has yet volunteered,,, including many anti-vaxxers I know,,, to give influenza to their 93 year old grandmother.
2.) Have also consulted with everybody I know,,, sans the anti-vaxxers,,, and nobody who is old enough to remember having the chicken pox recalls wanting to throw a party for all of their friends.
3.) None of us died of chicken pox, many did, and still do die of measles, colds and other preventable diseases, some of which we have vaccines for, but some of which we acquire immunity just by being a walking breathing human!
The size of the curve....is the same. We don't know how big the curve is,,, and if you thought you knew,,, you still don't know because the confounding information of human herd immunity, human intervention etc is a steady alteration of the size and shape of the curve.
The curve has only to do with the number of patients seeking care. It has zip, zero, nada, nothing to do with the number of people infected by COVID-19.
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