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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 386.01+1.6%4:00 PM EST

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To: Dr. Voodoo who wrote (156433)4/13/2020 5:40:17 AM
From: sense  Read Replies (1) of 217712
 
There are choices that have to be made.

Flatten the curve is done. You do still have to sustain a rate of transmission below that which would risk over filling the ICUs. Otherwise, there's not much advantage in sustaining an even lower rate of transmission beyond some point...

It's worth sustaining a lower rate, BUT ONLY IF, in a short period of time, our ability to resist the virus or its effects are going to improve. Already noted... if mortality rates drop because hydroxychloroquine works... and there is enough of it... and its ready to distribute... then you end the isolation part of the quarantine just as soon as there's adequate testing capacity.

Both of those... drug and testing... should happen in the U.S. by April 15th... maybe 1 May.

So that should happen soon... both when hydroxychlorquine is made more widely available... and as testing is enabled in becoming routine... you can isolate the bug better... and keep people alive better... so crisis is over.

But, if you keep flattening the curve beyond what is essential, then you will kill more people with curve flattening than the virus will.

Prevent the farmers from planting... because they're not allowed out of the house... or can't get fuel, fertilizer, seed, equipment, or workers ? They're already dumping product to rot in the fields now... which means people already aren't getting the food they used to get...

You have to keep the supply chain working... including the production end of the supply chain... not just the distribution part ? You don't need it making cars... but you do need it making food...
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