Two measures of economic activity (actually relative inactivity):
TSA checkpoint travel numbers
by Calculated Risk on 4/20/2020 03:24:00 PM
The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. (ht @conorsen)
This is another measure that will be useful to track when the economy starts to reopen.
This data shows the daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Blue) and 2020 (Red).
On April 19th there were 105,382 travelers compared to 2,356,802 a year ago.
That is a decline of 95%.
Posted by Calculated Risk on 4/20/2020 03:24:00 PM
calculatedriskblog.com
Hotels: Occupancy Rate Declined 69.8% Year-over-year to All Time Record Low
by Calculated Risk on 4/20/2020 09:30:00 AM
From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 11 April
Reflecting the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. hotel industry reported significant year-over-year declines in the three key performance metrics during the week of 5-11 April 2020, according to data from STR.
In comparison with the week of 7-13 April 2019, the industry recorded the following:
• Occupancy: -69.8% to 21.0%
• Average daily rate (ADR): -45.6% to US$74.18
• Revenue per available room (RevPAR): -83.6% to US$15.61
“There was not much of a change from last week. As we’ve noted, RevPAR declines of this severity are our temporary new normal,” said Jan Freitag, STR’s senior VP of lodging insights. “Several weeks of data also point to occupancy in the 20% range to be the low point, and economy hotels holding at a higher occupancy level is the pattern right now.”
emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four week average.
The red line is for 2020, dash light blue is 2019, blue is the median, and black is for 2009 (the worst year probably since the Great Depression for hotels).
2020 was off to a solid start, however, COVID-19 has crushed hotel occupancy.
Note: Y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the seasonal change.
This is the lowest weekly occupancy on record, even considering seasonality.
Posted by Calculated Risk on 4/20/2020 09:30:00 AM
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