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Politics : The Trump Presidency

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To: koan who wrote (161343)4/24/2020 1:53:37 PM
From: combjelly  Read Replies (2) of 359938
 
We've been running 2k to 3k deaths per day for the past couple of weeks. So for the moment, we may have reached the local maxima. Based on Italy's experience, we could be here for a while. With the spread to more rural regions, that could be a long while...

Obviously, the upper limit of 60k is nonsense. We quite likely will be over 100k. And that is assuming there isn't a second wave in the fall. If that second wave includes a mutation that makes it more dangerous, say a longer incubation period of infectious pre-symptomatic behavior, well...

We could have a situation where Trump is holding massive rallies and parades celebrating the defeat of the virus, while in the crowd lurks a large percentage of pre-symptomatic people.
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