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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 208.59+4.1%Dec 4 3:59 PM EST
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To: Sector Investor who wrote (32390)1/28/1998 8:11:00 PM
From: Maverick  Read Replies (1) of 61433
 
How come noone commented on this excerpt from the AT&T
It's old news and is probably factored in the price already. ASND may be leery of announcing contract wins for fear that analysts may raise the estimates making it harder to meet in light of the stagnant RAC biz. The overall RAC market appears to stall at least until 2Q98 after a 56K std is hammered out and new SW is shipped. ASND mgmt is right in saying that ASND will not resume doulbe digit rev growth until 2H98 when RAC starts to pick up again. After all, RAC still accounts for nearly 50% of ASND rev. but a slightly smaller % of profit. I still believe in ASND and plan to hold on for another year when the RAC will have fully recovered. Some may ask why not selling ASND to invest in others. The answer is I do own a number of others and am not a trader. There is also a fallacy to selling ASND to invest in others that you can lose in other stocks too (double jeopardy). Investing in a fundamentally sound co. and stay long term seems to work rather than instant gratification which could go the wrong way - instant pain.

Thanks for bringing this up, Sector. Most good analysts already knew about the big AT&T contract which includes multiservice (IP, FR, ATM) CBX 500 ATM edge switch and GX 550 ATM core switch. Right now, analysts are still nebulous about long term EPS growth. Hence, they could not accord a high P/E for ASND. The picture will be much clearer in 2H98. By then they may revise the P/E growth rate.
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