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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 375.93-1.8%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: carranza2 who wrote (160913)8/5/2020 9:07:15 AM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations   of 217796
 
Martin reckons ...

Gold & Silver
TUESDAY, 04 AUGUST 2020 BY: MARTY ARMSTRONG



We warned that for gold to break out we needed to see the Silver/Gold Ratio peak. That indeed took place and July was the Directional Change target that signaled the start of this event. As we head into the Monetary Crisis Cycle, we are looking at the outright collapse in confidence of government. Keep in mind that the amount of government debt is about 10x that of equities. It does not take that much capital to begin to migrate to create the rallies we have been looking at.



We can see that volatility rises from August through October. This is probably reflecting the chaos with the elections. Our national model still shows a Trump victory. We are running our models on every state to see if we come up with a variable. The computer showed originally that Gore would win but the Supreme Court handed it to Bush.

The November elections are clearly shaping up to be a real mess. Problems at the Post Office and lost mail-in ballots, delayed results, will all be ripe for challenge. We may end up with this being decided in the courts. There was a serious problem in New York which was still counting votes from its botched June primaries. It is hard to say how these elections will unfold given all the chaos. But the computer on a national level shows Trump should win. That does not seem to be a guarantee given all the uncertainly surrounding the rules on a state by state basis.





Silver has outperformed gold on this rally and I still believe it will do so in the years ahead. This is mainly due to the fact that there are fewer restrictions on silver compared to gold as governments continue to hunt money. We elected FOUR Monthly Bullish Reversals at the end of June which fed nicely into the July Directional Change.

This seems to be playing out with either a rally into the elections as people fear a Democratic victory and MMT comes into play or a decline into October. A Trump victory would probably bring the metals back down into January, but thereafter, we see this Monetary Crisis Cycle and the Sovereign Debt Crisis come into play. Additionally, this shortage in the supply chain of many things from food to plywood will bring inflation up sharply into 2024
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