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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: longnshort who wrote (1252430)	8/6/2020 11:33:44 AM
From: puborectalis	1 Recommendation of 1576369

The American University historian Allan Lichtman’s predictions are worth paying attention to because he has accurately forecast every election since 1984, including President Donald Trump’s stunning victory in 2016 over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. In an op-ed video in the New York Times published on Wednesday, Lichtman’s model, per usual, outlines his 13 keys to the White House that now lead him to believe that Biden is on track to secure a victory on Nov. 3. This time around, Lichtman’s prognostication should come as little surprise given national polls indicate that Biden commands a substantial lead over the incumbent. Biden, polling at 49.1%, holds a 6.4 percentage-point lead over Trump at 42.7%, according to a national poll average compiled by Real Clear Politics. Lichtman says Biden leads Trump on seven of the 13 true-or-false criteria he looks at to assess the winner of a race to the White House, which includes factors such as the economy, foreign policy, scandals, social unrest and even the charisma of the candidate.

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