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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 296.74+1.8%Nov 28 4:00 PM EST

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FJB
To: Return to Sender who wrote (85452)8/9/2020 12:28:13 PM
From: robert b furman1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 95487
 
Hi RtS,

If you are calling a top and a correction, I won't argue your point.

If you go back to the correction of late 1997 and 1998, as the start of the semi .com blow off which extended into early 2000.

I don't think we're seeing the euphoric top, with the breadth required to call the end is near.

We are seeing the mega caps carrying the load, much like INTC,AMAT,MSFT did in 1999.

Those fast growers back then went sideways for 6-8 months as smaller caps rotated and had huge percentage rises.

I expect the mega caps (FANG) to go through a similar sideways action, while market breadth increases into the smaller and mid cap stocks.

It is getting toppy,but the IPO's are getting busted if they are not making money. That's too much rationalization to be labeling this total market a euphoric unsustainable top.

That being said, it is important to sell before the decline gets going.

I've known you for years and you are very conservative on your market reads. I view it as a market beacon of good sense.

Thanks for your long term contributions! I value them greatly.

JMHO

Bob
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