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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 385.99+1.6%Nov 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: carranza2 who wrote (161567)8/24/2020 3:28:22 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 217739
 
Something about something from Marty

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It is important to look at markets in all the currencies as well as against sectors. Here we have the Dow/Gold Ratio which is insightful as to whether or not gold is truly going to enter a bull market against the share market. We can see this ratio collapsed from 1999 into 2011 as gold rallied. However, since then, the Dow outperformed gold for 7 years. This ratio peaked in 2018 and we could see that gold was preparing for a rally. Here in 2020 where we had a Directional Change, this is when gold made its sharp recent rally. However, to maintain that direction, this ratio needs to close below 13.45 at year-end where we have another Directional Change in 2021 and it looks like the major turning point will be 2022 with high volatility.

We are not going to escape politics by any means. The entire world is going nuts. The importance of the US election seems to be to the extent of maintaining an opposite position to the rising socialist agenda coming from Europe. If Trump wins, then the dollar can rally and offer a brief safe haven for Europe. If Trump loses, it also depends upon the Senate and if that were to also flip to the Democrats, then the dollar would decline into 2022. Either way, post-2022, we show shortages of commodities and rising inflation with rising volatility met by sheer political confusion thereafter into 2032. A socialist victory here in 2020, would not appear to last beyond 2022 before the global economy collapses in the West.

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