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Media Daily Covering the Media Spectrum
January 28, 1998 Vol. 6 - No. 18 Media Daily Archive DIRECT Newsline Letters to the Editor
Web Ad Revenue Totals $597.1 Million, Up 152.6% for Year (Simba/Electronic Advertising & Marketplace Report) Web advertising revenue reached $597.1 million in 1997, up 152.6% from $236.4 million in 1996, according to EAMR estimates. Quarter-to-quarter growth over the past year ranged from 23.6% to 58.7% with $84 million in the first quarter, $133.3 million in the second quarter, $169.8 million in the third quarter, and $210 million in the fourth quarter.
Several factors drove growth, including rising ad budgets for existing Web advertisers, the emergence of new online advertisers, the rise of networks giving exposure to both advertisers and Web sites, as well as a growing Web audience that is beginning to more closely resemble mainstream media demographics.
Despite that enormous growth, however, Web advertising is still far from a powerhouse medium. A handful of sites continue to dominate the media; according to EAMR estimates, 18 top ad-supported sites accounted for 55% of the market in 1997, at $328.3 million. And, despite publishers' claims to the contrary, the industry is still heavily influenced by barter and advertising swaps rather than advertisers paying for all ads.
Yahoo! was the top ad-supported site for the second year in a row at $53.2 million, up 180% from $19 million in 1996, according to EAMR estimates. Second-ranking Excite narrowed the gap with Yahoo, largely as a result of its acquisition of WebCrawler from America Online last year. Excite generated $40.2 million in ad revenue last year, up 171.6% from $14.8 million in 1996. Infoseek was plagued by management upheaval in 1997, yet managed to be the third-largest ad-supported site in 1997 at $28.2 million, up 93.5% from $14.6 million in 1996.
Despite the call from many advertisers for more targeted marketing, the search engines remain almost a default buy among Web advertisers simply because they consistently offer the largest audience at one location on the Web. Advertisers may be even more sold on the search engines as they begin to model themselves after America Online and add more commerce and community features to their sites, which will cause viewers to spend more time at the search engine rather than jumping off to a new location.
Of the 18 top sites surveyed monthly by EAMR, CNN had the largest increase in ad revenue, up 314.9% to $14.6 million, from $3.5 million in 1996. Pathfinder had the flattest growth among the top sites, yet still enjoyed a 60% boost to $10 million in ad revenue. Other sites began to report their first profits from Web advertising. Yahoo reported a profit for much of 1997 (although that was due in large part to the fact that Yahoo shareholder Softbank was one of the largest advertisers on the site), ZDNet claimed its first profit in fourth quarter 1997, and Wired Digital expects profits in 1998.
Site consolidation was one of the more dominant trends in 1997, particularly among the technology publishers such as Wired, CMP and Mecklermedia. Advertisers were able to buy across a single network, while publishers were able to market their Web brand more clearly.
Clickthrough emerged as the dominant standard for judging online advertising effectiveness in 1997, but by the end of the year, industry players were debating whether direct marketing or branding is the best application for the Web, fueled in large part by the Internet Advertising Bureau's (IAB's) study on Web banner effectiveness. With industry average clickthroughs flat at 2% to 4% in 1997 and 1996, publishers were overjoyed when the IAB announced that viewers don't have to click on the ad to have their marketing message ingrained. Web advertisers, however, remain unconvinced.
Pay-per-performance pricing programs created a stir in the industry, but haven't swept through the market as some publishers feared and some advertisers hoped. DoubleClick Direct and PointCast Direct were the first pay-per-performance packages offered by A-level interactive services, although both companies only offer unsold or limited sections of inventory, and both work with each advertiser on their creative to ensure positive results. As online commerce and advertising become more intertwined, programs such as LinkShare's Referral, Track & Payment service, which tracks ad banners that result in sales, will become more common.
Advertising revenue, while growing as an individual revenue stream, is declining as the percent of overall revenue. For example, Lycos reported that advertising accounted for 69% of total revenue for the three month fiscal period ended Oct. 31, 1997, down from 85% for the same period in 1996. Publishers may see money from subscription and commerce partnerships rival or even eclipse advertising as a revenue stream, as sites look to diversify their revenue streams.
The IAB evolved into an effective forum for voicing industry concerns over the past year, and even had success with implementing banner size standards among the industry's top sites. However, it will be interesting to see if the IAB can remain effective in getting the industry to adopt certain procedures, or if the organization's primary role will be as a meeting house for industry players to network and voice concerns.
The industry has identified measurement and tracking standards as a pressing issue for 1998, and the IAB will attempt to develop standards through its standards & practices committee. The association also will broaden its role as industry cheerleader with the IAB Road Show, in which it will attempt to convert 25 of the top media advertisers not on the Web.
Web publishers are still overly dependent on a few key high-spending advertisers. The number of advertisers spending more than a few hundred-thousand dollars online is very small, and the effectiveness of the online marketing message on the viewer remains unproven. Local Web advertising and foreign markets have all been labeled as "the next big thing," but so far haven't justified those claims with real dollars, according to industry sources. There is little doubt that Web marketing will be big, but the rate of growth may be slower than many Web-based companies are hoping for. Comment
Media Daily Archive DIRECT Newsline Letters to the Editor
Cowles/Simba Media Daily 01/28/98 Copyright 1998 Cowles Business Media. All rights reserved.
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