FOX NEWS POLL
Published October 14, 2016
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Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 7 points
foxnews.com
Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has increased to seven points, as more than half of voters say he is not qualified to be president.
That’s according to a just-released national Fox News Poll of likely voters.
Clinton receives 45 percent to Trump’s 38 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 3 percent. Last week, Clinton was up by two points in the four-way contest (44-42 percent).
In the two-way matchup, it’s Clinton over Trump by eight (49-41 percent). She had a four-point edge a week ago (48-44 percent, Oct. 3-6).
Clinton’s lead is outside the poll’s margin of sampling error in both the two-way and four-way contests.
The poll, out Thursday, was conducted Monday-Wednesday. The second presidential debate was Sunday. On Friday, The Washington Post made public a hot-mic recording of Trump from Access Hollywood. On the same day, WikiLeaks began its release of hacked emails from the Clinton campaign, revealing more on Monday through Wednesday.
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In the four-way race, Clinton is favored among non-whites (+62 points), suburban women (+24), women (+19), and voters under 30 (+16). Third party candidates hurt her among younger voters, as about one in four of them go for Johnson or Stein.
Trump’s the pick for men (+5 points), whites (+14), and whites without a college degree (+25).
Since last week, the largest declines in support for him are among women ages 45 and over (down 12 points), voters ages 65+ (down 11), suburban women (down 10), white women with a college degree (down 7), GOP women (down 6), and white college graduates (down 6).
Support for Trump among white evangelical Christians held steady at 68 percent. Typically, however, about three-quarters of white evangelicals vote for the GOP nominee. Trump’s support among regular church-goers dropped eight points, from 53 to 45 percent.
Independents split, giving 35 percent to each Clinton and Trump, with another 21 percent backing Johnson or Stein. Trump was up by 12 points among independents in late September.
Eighty-one percent of Democrats back Clinton and 80 percent of Republicans support Trump.
"If the Republicans are not at rock-bottom, they can certainly see the bottom from where they are," says GOP pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. "If Trump got 90 percent of self-identified Republicans and nothing else -- no Democrats and no independents -- he'd be at 32 percent.”
Trump’s enthusiasm advantage has evaporated: 70 percent of his backers “strongly” supported him last week. That’s 63 percent now. For Clinton, it’s 66 percent, up from 57 percent.
Yet the number of Republicans satisfied with Trump as their nominee is mostly unchanged: 48 percent are happy with him at the top of the ticket vs. 52 percent a month ago.
Among Democrats, 54 percent are happy with Clinton, while 38 percent still wish it were Bernie Sanders.
Overall, 64 percent believe Clinton has the right temperament to serve effectively and 68 percent say she’s qualified to be president.
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