IKM,
A colleague of mine recently returned from a high-level meeting in Mexico where that country's monetary policy was discussed. As we talked about the likely path of the peso over the next year, it occured to me that perhaps we might induce more discussion of currency trading on this thread if we broadened the focus. That is, we could keep the two facets of the thread that, IMO, are interesting: (1) the theoretical and empirical basis for predicting the movement of currencies relative to each other, and (2) the mechanics of speculating on the foreign exchange markets (brokers, contracts, exchanges, etc.), but consider issues beyond the EMU. For example, are there ways to speculate in the markets for soft currencies? What are the links between economic performance, macro policy, and exchange rate policy, etc., etc.? The EMU situation could, of course, be a continuing part the thread, but so could the future of the peso, the yen, etc.
What do you think?
Regards, Carl
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