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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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The Memo: Trump's second-term chances fade
By Niall Stanage - 10/18/20 06:00 AM EDT 16,593

Joe Biden is in the driver’s seat with little more than two weeks left before Election Day.

The Democratic presidential nominee has a commanding lead in national polls over President Trump, and he has the edge in almost all the battleground states.

Biden is being buoyed by prodigious fundraising and is outspending Trump on the airwaves.

Republican voices of dissent, including those of Sens. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) and Ben Sasse (R-Neb.), are being raised against the president — a sign of deepening concern about the party’s fate in Senate and House elections.

Perhaps most crucially of all, time is against the president.

Barring a cataclysmic “October surprise,” Trump’s only obvious chance to change the shape of the race will come in the final presidential debate, set for Thursday evening in Nashville, Tenn.

The number of Americans voting early is also surging, leaving Trump even less room to maneuver. As of Friday, more than 20 million people had cast their ballots.

Trump loyalists and nervous Democrats are united on one point: that the president cannot be counted out, especially in light of his shock win in 2016, when state-level polls were badly wrong.

But there are key differences this time around — not least that Biden has led the race from the start and Trump has never come particularly close to erasing that gap.
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